There are two ways to look at what will happen to the
state budget next year. You can look at what happened this year and suppose
that similar big cuts are coming our way again next year. Or you can look
at the long-term political viewpoint which indicates that a new Governor
will push hard for big tax cuts in a non-election year, but that next
year things will be relatively stable as more big cuts won’t be
workable for politicians in an election year.
According to Charlie Lyons, the big budget problem we
have in Arlington is primarily due to the decrease in discretionary State
Aid (and our budget busters: Health Costs and Pension Fund obligations).
In the early 1980s the Local Aid formula was determined using a mix of
40 or so discrete variables (including such numbers as the age of housing
stock pre-1950, per capita income, and so on.) The total amount of Local
Aid going to cities and towns was a consistent 24% of the state budget.
From this money, Chapter 70 would first be fully funded, then Additional
Assistance would be the leftover distributed to the towns that needed
it the most. Since 1992, the Local Aid formula was no longer used, and
only the school formula became the basis for determining fund dispersements.
Now the state gives towns and cities less than the 24% and it’s
down to 21% now. Charlie would like to see towns and cities getting a
specific % of the state budget for Local Aid every year.
According to Charlie Lyons, as Arlington spends more money
on their schools than the required Net School Spending determined by Education
Reform and we are spending above the Foundation Budget, the state thinks
all is fine with Arlington so they aren’t going to send more money
for the schools. If you count all per pupil spending in Arlington (including
special education and Minuteman) our per pupil expenditure is above the
state average. However, according to Barbara Goodman, our average per
pupil expenditure - non intergrated ( ie excluding sped and Minuteman)
was about $120 dollars less than the state average. We are about $100
dollars less per pupil spending based on '02 preliminary figures for day
programs.
Although Title 1 funding went up across the state, our
funding went down by $100,000 in Arlington. Both Barbara and Sue said
they would follow up on ways to encourage more eligible families to apply
next year.
We have received funds from a federal entitlement grant
94-142 for Special Education for many years. According to Barbara, this
money has increased by a bit over $100,000. We were recently notified
of this and have not yet sent in the grant application. Unfortunately,
we have also received decreases in other grant programs for Special Education.
I am not sure if we will have a net increase in special education funds
or not.
Charlie mentioned that the state is now covering more
of the cost for students who need out of district placement, and this
money will go directly to the Arlington schools for reimbursement. This
appropriation has already been made this year so this money should be
in the current FY04 budget. According to Barbara, this circuit breaker
just passed at the state level may mean *UP TO* $300,000 more for us.
However the law was passed with a catch. The state will pay up to 75%
of a certain cost IF the funds are available. We of course need to pay
100% up front and they will reimburse in 4 installments if money is available.
Thus it is difficult to count on these funds.
The Hancock case is being fought with the voice of the
poor districts. Charlie thinks we need to join this case with other communities
in a similar situation by filing an Amicus brief. Where we are being hit
hard in the school funding formula is that a community’s wealth
is determined solely by looking at per capita income and the valuation
of residential homes. Commercial property valuation is not included as
part of the towns wealth. For communities with large amounts of commercial
properties, this wealth is a hidden resource and is a boon. For towns
that are primarily residential, such as Arlington (Belmont, Melrose, others?)
we do not have access to large amounts of commercial property taxes. Charlie
suggests we make the case that this is unfair in the Hancock case. He
says that both Jay Kaufman and Jim Marzilli are also interested in following
up on this legislatively. Thus instead of determining a communities wealth
solely based on Residential Equalized Valuation X Per Capita Income; the
formula would use Total Equalized Valuation = Residential EQV + Commercial/Industrial
EQV and multiplied by per capita income to determine a communities wealth
factor. If this were done, then Arlington might not be so disadvantaged
in the current way school funding is determined. This is not a quick fix,
it would take several years and tens of thousands of dollars, and would
take a coalition of similar minded communities to push for this change.
Arlington is 94 % residential, while Boston is only 26% residential. Any
communities with EQV greater than 80% should be interested in joining
in on an Amicus bried arguing this point.
Also we need the towns wealth to be determined such that
it is dependent on property owners’ ability to pay, ie it is the
property owner who pays the property tax, not the tenant. (I’m having
some trouble following this one as I thought property owners pass on property
taxes in the rent in any case?) Although I guess then there would be fewer
incomes taken into account as the sum of all tenant incomes would be irrelevant
and just the fewer landlords and owner occupied incomes would count?
Charlie would like to find a way to protect our income
poor and property tax rich seniors from property tax increases. In Cambridge
they use a formula such that for seniors, they would be taxed as usual
on the first 200,000-300,000? valuation on their home, then they would
get a 20% or so break on the valuation from say 300,000-700,000, then
they would get fully taxed on any amount above that. We need to look at
the rule in Cambridge to find out the details and think about implementing
that here in Arlington through a home-rule petition at Town Meeting.
Charlie thinks the real estate transfer tax recently implemented
in Winchester will be killed by the state. We need to increase state income
taxes instead.
Charlie thinks we need to spend down our Reserves now
or the state will just look at the money we have in our Stabilization
and Reserve funds and say “see you guys have plenty of money and
don’t need any help from us” they won’t say, “hmmm
that town is being fiscally responsible and cannibalizing their young”.
Diane Mahon has also indicated that she thinks we need to spend down more
free cash and stabilization money.
Al Tosti says that the basic fact of the Town's fiscal
2004 budget was that we were spending more money than we were bringing
in. This was caused by factors largely beyond our control. To solve this
problem, we either had to raise more money(override) or reduce expenditures.
The use of reserves is a stop-gap, temporary solution to get us through
the tough period to a hopefully improving economy. But it cannot fill
the gap completely or for very long. The budget presented to Town Meeting
and approved by that body included the use of $5.9m of reserves to cushion
the blow to Town services, but without the override, services had to be
further reduced. Next year we will use another $3.6m of reserves and in
fy06 another $1.4m. At that point our reserves will be almost exhausted.
Our interest income on town funds will be substantially reduced, we might
have to borrow temporarily for operating expenses because of cash flow
problems, and our credit rating will be in severe jeopardy. The hope is
by that time an improved economy will allow us to stabilize services and
begin to rebuild these reserves in preparation for the next recession.
This plan to utilize reserves to carry us over a multiyear problem is
responsible and was not challenged by a vote of any of the major Boards
involved in the process.
According to Al Tosti, without the override, expenditures
had to be reduced. That is a fact of life. To throw all of our reserves
against our budget would have resulted in a disastrous situation for the
next fiscal year and would have been irresponsible. The State would have
looked at us and declared that we were a basket case of our own making.
They would not take funds from others who had made the tough descisions
to give to us who didn't.
It seems that the idea to use all of our reserve and stabilization
funds this year is predicated on the idea that we will not be in a fiscal
crisis next year, whereas the course we did follow was a 3 year plan for
using up reserves. It does seem more prudent to follow the 3 year plan
to me especially as the economy sure doesn’t seem to be on an upswing
yet. Am I not understanding something?
Charlie suggested we need to look at the Pension fund
timetable and see if it makes sense to extend it more next year. The legislature
recently allowed? towns to not put money into the pension fund for 1-2
years and then make up for it in later years. We need to see if this would
make any sense for Arlington.
John Bilafer stresses that we should not extend the timetable
out to 2028 which is the maximum as it sends a negative signal to the
credit rating agencies that the Town of Arlington is experiencing a weakness
of resolve regarding its willingness to confront and deal with its long-term
obligations. This has the potential to increase borrowing costs for the
Town. In addition, our consultant, Larry Stone of Stone Consulting, said
it would cost the town an estimated $37.5 million in additional interest
cost over the duration of the schedule. Finally, if we extended the funding
schedule to the maximum, the Retirement Board would lose all budgetary
flexibility with regard to smoothing out future portfolio losses in the
event of another sustained downturn in the market. As it is, the timetable
extension From 2012 to 2022 saved Arlington over $1.1 million. This extension
was unanimously supported by a Pension and Reserves Subcommittee established
by the Board of Selectmen on March 6, 2003. The subcommittee members were
Selectman Kevin Greeley, Charlie Foskett-Finance Committee, Ruth Lewis-Town
Comptroller, Joani Lamachia-School Committee and John Bilafer-Town Treasurer
and Retirement Board. On June 9th, Town meeting finalized the appropriation
process by funding the retirement budget.
However it is not clear what the effect would be to extend
the pension fund out by one or two more years (to 2023 or 2024) rather
than to the maximum (2028). Or what the cost or savings would be if we
were allowed to not pay into the fund for one or two years under new proposed
state guidelines.
Charlie said he could possibly see a modest override in
the amount of an additional 2.5% (around $1.5M) combined with a progressive
circuit breaker for house-rich, income-poor elderly.
Charlie thinks we need to aggressively pursue Homeland
Security Funds to possibly institute a Radio Frequency System in Arlington
as a warning system for our region. We also need to push hard on the unions
to accept a 3 tier for drugs medical insurance plan with an 80%/20% copay
split.
In the long term, the National League of Cities is joining
with the National School Board Assn. and the School Superintendents Assn.
to push at the Federal Level for fully funding the No Child Left Behind
Act. Charlie says we also need to push to decrease the intrusive aspects
of the bill to make it more effective. As he is president-elect of the
National League of Cities, he looks forward to pushing this. We also need
to push for full funding of IDEA, the special education mandate (which
is currently being funded at 12% but was promised to fully fund at 40%).
The Federal Government deficit of $455B is more than current spending
on all schools and higher education combined. The National League of Cities
opposed the president’s tax bill cut. We did help push for the $20B
which was returned to the states earlier this year.
Massachusetts received $550M from the Federal Government
to help with the fiscal crisis. $300M is earmarked for Medicaid. But that
means it frees up money we were using for Medicaid. The remaining $250M
was meant to go back to the states to be used to jump start the economy,
not to be put into a bank account where it doesn’t do any good.
There is talk at the Federal Level to force states to use this money or
they will take it back. Initially $87M of this money was supposed to be
earmarked to go to cities and towns but that provision of the bill was
altered. But we should demand that Massachusetts honor this and give us
the money intended for cities and towns. It’s our share and we need
it now! The first priority for that money should be the $32M needed to
fully fund Chapter 70. Also the School Building Assistance Funds should
be funded. Arlington received a 20% cut in Chapter 70 this year, plus
a 20 % cut in Minuteman Chapter 70 funds. If we got our share we would
recoupe these funds. This would be something to push with your statewide
coalition partners.
According to Charlie, in poor economic times, the Federal
Government needs to jump start the economy. So be on the lookout for new
grants for improving infrastructure like rebuilding the Fire Station and
the Schools. We need to have those Dallin school plans ready to go and
go ahead and build it. Construction costs are down now because demand
and prices have gone down.
The O’Neill formula is minutiae as compared to our
budget busters of Special education costs, Health insurance costs and
Pension funding, and State Aid cuts.
It was not clear whether it was easy to compare student
expenses across towns as various factors may be included differently in
different towns. Sue Sheffler was going to look into this issue.
Charlie supposed that if he were a member of the school
committee and he thought we were cutting essential services at the schools,
he would have a warrant article at the next Town Meeting asking for the
funds to cover those essential services. Charlie would think we could
cover essentials from the stabilization funds up to $1M. But he would
be very specific about what exactly those funds were being used for. He
would try and get the town to partner with the current private fundraising
effort and get matching funds from the town. There may be a Special TM
in the fall.
However, it seems that this supposition is based on thinking
that our reserve and stabilization funds are expendable and will not be
needed for fiscal years 2005 and 2006. It is not clear that this is the
case.